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ZCars Analysis

May 18th 2008 01:50
The ZCars blog currently attracts over 20,000 individual readers a day. I thought I would do an analysis of why ZCars has been so successful so other Orble bloggers can apply the same techniques to their own blogs.

ZCars


ZCars is written by Charles, an Orble employee, however there is nothing about ZCars which cannot be replicated by any Orble blogger with a domain blog.


Charles has taken quite a mercenary approach to ZCars which may not be for eveyone. If you just enjoy posting on Orble and debating various topics without worrying too much about traffic and revenue then that's absolutely fine, you can probably skip the rest of this post.


Revenue

ZCars currently makes just over $40 USD per day in AdSense revenue ($20 commission) for about 60 minutes of work (nearly 90 mins per weekday) with traffic continuing to increase. It is also reaching the point where it can take on large direct advertisers at which time we expect revenue to increase by a factor of around 3-4. Note that a large proportion of the ZCars traffic is from Google image searches which pays very little. Non image-search traffic amounts to about 3500 unique readers per day. By this measure there are a number of Orble blogs which attract similar levels of traffic. For the rest of this post I will be talking about non image-search traffic unless otherwise stated.


It is an unfortunate fact that large well paying advertisers will only place ads on websites with very large traffic volumes and an audience that fits their target demographic. Thankfully a number of Orble blogs are finally approaching this point. Once we establish relationships with advertisers for particular blogs I am hoping to extend their advertising to the corresponding Orble channels so smaller Orble bloggers can also benefit from the better advertising rates.

Obviously for a large part of the life of ZCars it has made much less than $40 per day. I've regarded the time spent before now as an investment which is starting to pay off and which should give quite a good effective return over the next few years.


Traffic Sources

As can be seen from the graph below about half of ZCar's traffic comes from Search Engines (mainly Google, some Yahoo and MSN) and the rest from returning readers (email, bookmarks, type-ins) and referring sites.

ZCars Stats
ZCars Traffic Sources


ZCars does get some traffic from the Orble home page and popular posts lists, however it is a small fraction of the total. Charles has mainly concentrated on attracting search engine traffic rather that write posts which attract votes on Orble.


Below are the factors which have contributed to this traffic:


Being part of the Orble Network

The main benefit of being part of Orble for ZCars is the set of links from other Orble blogs which helps with search engine rankings. ZCars would not have anywhere near the amount of search traffic it has if it were a stand-alone blog.


Continuous and Frequent Posting

ZCars has had at least 1 post per week since it's creation in April 2006. Since April 2007 it has had an average of 5 posts per week and since December 2007 an average of 15 posts per week (3 per weekday). Charles spends an average of about 30 minutes on each post.

Continuous posting over long periods is one of the most important factors in attracting Google (and other SE) traffic. This post on average Orble blog traffic illustrates the fact.

A blog needs to have had a long period of continuous posting to attract serious SE traffic. For the first 6 months of it's like ZCars struggled to attract many readers at all, certainly much less than 100 per day. The key is persistence. The longer you blog the more of your competition drops away and the more traffic you will pick up. The last blogger standing wins.

There is some question over whether it is better to post say 3 posts per day on one blog, or 1 post per day on three different blogs. I would say that for the moment the jury is still out. There are a couple of Orble bloggers who make similar amounts of revenue to ZCars from (what they say is) about 60 mins per day of posting on a number of different blogs. The advantage of this approach is that all your eggs are not in one basket, however the disadvantage is that we may find it harder to sell to direct advertisers once you reach sufficient traffic volumes.


Stable Topics

Most of the posts on ZCars are about specific cars. Many people who are thinking about buying a specific car search for information about that car using a Search Engine. Each new post on ZCars can attract SE traffic for months and some for years after being published. Topics which continue to attract SE traffic over long periods of time are known as Stable Topics. You can find out more about Stable Topics here.


Original Content

Most of the text on ZCars posts is entirely original. Occassionaly some quoting is done, however in small amounts (and always attributed). Having lots of original text in your posts is essential for attracting SE traffic. Lots if Duplicate content (text which is copied from elsewhere on the web) will result in your blog being penalised by the SEs. For more information see this post.

Your posts should also be of sufficient length. A post requires at least 200 words on original content to have any chance of attracting SE traffic, and the more the better. You are better of writing one substantial post of 500 words, than 10 short posts of 50 words.


Images

Each post contains an image. Many of the images have been cropped. Properly named and captioned images help attract regular SE traffic as well as image-search traffic. It also makes each post so much more attractive to your readers and they are more likely to hang around and click on an advert.

Remember to be careful of copyright and always attribute!

For more information on why having an image in each post is important see this post.


Categories

ZCars has lots of categories and they attract lots of SE traffic. Use categories! See this post for information on creating categories.

Think carefully when naming your categories. Which keywords are people most likely to search for?


Outside Links

One of the most important factors in the success of ZCars has been the effort Charles has made to attract links from blogs outside of Orble.

This has been done by creating great content (people will link to good, timely content) but also by visiting other motoring blogs and forums outside of Orble and leaving comments. Most sites will allow you to leave a link at the end of your comment back to your own site, as long as you are making a genuine contribution to their site with a useful or informative comment.

Don't spam (leave very short comments containing a link) as people will rightly get angry and possibly ban you. Sometimes it's best to establish an identity on a different site or forum first by leaving quite a few comments, before you start including a link back to your own site.

These inbound links will not just generate direct traffic (people who click on the link) they will also increase your SE rankings resulting in more SE traffic.


Correct use of Title and Short Title fields

Charles always puts some thought into the title of a post and the short title. See this post for more information on choosing the correct title for a post.


Conclusion

There is nothing magic about the success of ZCars. Any Orble domain blogger should be able to achieve the same results given a little time and effort.

As always comments and questions are appreciated.
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Duplicate Content

January 11th 2008 08:43
Copying content from other sources on the web for your own blog will hurt your search engine ranking. Google (and other search engines) take into account the "uniqueness" of a site's content (text and images) in their ranking algorithms.

If a site (or page on a site) mainly consists of text or images copied from another website they will usually rank poorly. Just changing the order of the paragraphs will not help either, or just copying just a segment of the text. If you want to duplicate content safely it needs to be completely rewritten.

This also applies to "quoting" from another source. Quoting is fine, but make sure that no more than 1/3 of the text of your post consists of a quote from another source. Copying an entire article, and then putting a link to the source after it with a few quick comments is not a good idea either. You would be better off simply having just the link and your short comments without the copied text.

In summary? Quality unique text and image content is best.
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I've unleashed the inner geek and done some research into how an Orble blog can be expected to perform over the first 500 days of it's life.

These results show that:

Bloggers need to persevere through the first 6 months of a blog's life when they are getting very little traffic. After this point blog traffic usually increases very quickly.

Patience and persistence are key.

Disclaimer: These results are based on data taken from the Orble network of domain blogs. I have no data on blogs outside of Orble however I would expect Orble blogs to perform better than average due to the fact that they are all networked together and that Orble bloggers are usually well trained. I'm not at all biased

The first graph is the most important and shows the number of readers on an active blog over the first 500 days of it's life.

readers vs age of blog


The graph shows that traffic does not really start to take of until the blog is a year old, and that traffic is particularly slow before the 6 month mark. No wonder so many bloggers give up. However if you persist until the blog is 500 days old (about 16 months) you can expect to have a blog with around 900 readers per day.

I have defined an active blog as one that has had at least 3 new posts in the last 20 days (this is measured for every day in a blog's life, not just the most recent day). Publishing three posts every 20 days is not that arduous I'm sure you'll agree.

You can expect even more readers if you follow all the advice on this blog and the blogging tips blog. It's amazing how many bloggers don't follow the simplest of advice and pull down that average

If you understand the above then you have got the main point of this post: Don't give up! Be patient and keep blogging if you want to succeed. The rest contains a whole array of graphs which are interesting but will only add incrementally to your sum of knowledge.

Next we take a look at what happens when you post more frequently than 3 times every 20 days.

readers vs age of blog and frequency of posting


As expected the more frequently you post the better you do. Especially towards the end of the 500 days when blogs which post at least 10 times every 20 days attract about 75% more traffic and those which post only 3 times.

From the graph it looks like there is not much difference between the frequencies for the first 200 days however if we look at just those days:

readers vs age of blog 200 days


we can see that it's actually just the scale tricking us. Increased blogging frequency is an asset from the outset.

From this graph we can also see that the first 120 days of a blog's life is particularly brutal with traffic remaining stagnant, and most bloggers do quit before they reach this point.

This pattern can be partly explained by the fact that it takes a long time for word of mouth about a blog to build up to a critical mass, but it's mainly to do with Google. Everyone's favourite search engine just loves older blogs which are frequently updated.

But, I hear you ask, perhaps it's just that older and more frequently updated blogs have a larger library of posts to attract traffic. It's got nothing to do with age and posting frequency, just the number of posts on a blog. I'll just do 500 days worth of posts in a couple of mad days at the start of my blog's life then all the traffic will come straight away. Not according to this graph which actually quite surprised me:

readers vs number of posts


It shows the number of posts on a blog vs the number of readers averaged over the last 3 days (I've removed the outliers for clarity). As you can see there is very little correlation. The number of posts on a blog has got very little to do with the number of readers.

This does not mean that a large number of posts on a blog is a bad thing. It just means that your blog needs to be frequently updated to take advantage of it. Also stuffing a whole heap of posts onto a young domain will not work. Age and frequency of posting are king.

How much of this effect is to do with age and how much with frequency? Could I just put a heap of posts on a blog and then wait for 500 days? This following graph compares inactive and active blogs:

inactive vs active blogs


As you can see from this graph, inactive blogs (with at least 20 posts in total to give them a fighting chance) attract far less traffic than active blogs. This shows just how important it is to keep your blog active over time. Without regular posting the traffic to your blog will drop off significantly.

Another Caveat: Some of the trend of the frequently updated blogs could be explained by the fact the bloggers who are getting few readers become discouraged and drop out. Their blogs become inactive and just the good ones are left which contributes to the rising trend.

The reason I don't think that this a big factor is that the number of active bloggers does not drop off that much after the 200 day mark, and even less after the 400 day mark. If a blogger is still going after 200 days they are quite likely to continue for some time. Despite this decline in the dropout rate the trend of the graph continues unchanged which would indicate that dropout has little effect.

Now I'm going to up the geek factor another notch and bring in log graphs. Look away if you don't like math

If you look at the very first graph of active blogs over 500 days those of you who do know a little math will notice that it looks vaguely exponential. Now I'm the last guy to try to fit a line to a graph and start making wild statements, and we all know that exponential growth can't last forever. But if we do go logarithmic we can have a stab at what to expect as a general percentage rate of increase in blog traffic over time.

readers vs age log scale


Here we can see that an exponential is in fact quite a good fit to the data and than it shows a 0.9% increase per day (compounded) in readers over time for active blogs (as defined by at least 3 posts in the last 20 days). Not bad.

What's quite interesting is that we get the same result if we up the frequency to 10 posts in the last 20 days.

readers vs age log scale 10 posts


It's the same daily increase of 0.9%. However with the more frequently updated blogs the increase is coming of a higher base after the initial wiggle at the start of the graph. So if this trend continues I would expect more active blogs to attract proportionately more and more readers as time goes by.

Well that's all of the graphs I've had time to make I'll be doing more detailed research as time goes by so watch this space and remember to always take statistics with a grain of salt, it's a complex world out there which will defy those who try to simplify it too much.

What are the main lessons we should take from this?

1) Don't give up in the first 6 months of blogging when you are getting few readers.

2) Post as frequently to your blog as you can. It will pay off.

3) If you are starting a new blog it really pays to take over an old inactive Orble blog which has already aged . You can see a list of Orble's inactive blogs here, abandoned by people who did not read this post

There are many ways to get your blog to deviate above the average. For some of those ways have a look at the other posts on this blog.


Very Small Appendix:

The metric I've used to measure the traffic for a given blog is the number of Link Readers. Link Readers are those readers who have clicked on link to arrive at a page on a given blog, or who clicked on a link while they were there. It probably underestimates the true number of readers by around 20% but it's the most stable and reliable measure we have that excludes those pesky robots.
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Most bloggers write about recent events and people who are currently in the news. This is a great way to attract readers because we all like to know what is happening in the world around us. However recent events usually have a limited shelf life. After a couple of days or weeks people will mostly lose interest.

There are however many topics which people will always be interested in and which most bloggers overlook because they are so focused on what is new. A few examples


[ Click here to read more ]
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How often should I post to my blog?

October 2nd 2007 05:54
Frequent posting is very important to successful blogging for a number of reasons. The first is that there will always be fresh content to encourage your readers to visit often, preferably every day. The second reason is that the Search Engines love blogs that are frequently updated and will send your blog more traffic not just to your new posts but to all your old posts as well. The third reason is that regular posting will quickly build up the amount of content on your site which is also another key factor in attracting search engine traffic.

So how often should you post in an ideal world


[ Click here to read more ]
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